Regime Track Record

Live, forward-looking proof — not a backtest. Every regime call is scored against real BTC price action and recorded the moment it's made. No curve-fitting, no survivorship bias.

Updated live from -- market snapshots
Alpha vs Buy-Hold
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Regime-following excess return
4h Directional Accuracy
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-- / -- windows
Current Regime
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--% confidence
Data Period
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-- to --

Returns: Regime-Following vs Buy-Hold

If you followed regime calls (long in bull, short in bear, flat in chop) vs simply holding BTC.

Following Regime Calls
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BTC Buy & Hold
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-- alpha over buy-hold

Accuracy by Regime

Each 4-hour window is scored: did BTC move in the direction the regime predicted?

Regime Correct Calls Total Windows Accuracy
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How We Measure

10-Signal Classifier

BTC SMA 50/200, funding rates, Fear & Greed, dominance, stablecoin flows, volume, volatility, liquidation imbalance, DXY trend. Weighted vote determines regime.

4-Hour Windows

Every 4 hours, we check: did BTC move in the direction the regime predicted? Bear = BTC dropped. Bull = BTC rose. Chop = moved less than 2%.

No Cherry-Picking

Every snapshot is recorded in SQLite. Every window is scored. No survivorship bias, no backtesting curve-fitting. This is live, forward-looking accuracy.

Download Historical Data

Backtest against our regime classifications and signal archive. Institutional tier gets the full dataset.

Regime History CSV (30d) Signal Archive CSV (30d)

Requires authentication. Institutional tier unlocks full history back to March 2.

Get Regime Calls in Your App

One API call returns bull, bear, or chop with confidence scoring. Free tier available.

Get Your API Key
Free tier: 10 RPM, 500 calls/day. No credit card required.